NFL Draft odds are already on the board for the 2023 draft and after a weak year, quarterbacks are once again scattered throughout the board. Examine our odds to see who will be selected first among CJ Stroud, Bryce Young, and the rest of the top prospects.
After Georgia’s convincing victory over TCU in the CFP National Championship game, the 2022 college football season came to a close.
Since quarterbacks have been selected so early and so frequently in prior years, the 2022 draft had a different approach. The odds for the 2023 NFL Draft indicate a return to form, with two quarterbacks at the top of the board.
Just a few months before the 2023 draft, we take a look at the probabilities of being selected first overall.
2023 NFL Draft odds: Odds to go first overall
| Player | Position | Odds to go first overall |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young | QB | -125 |
| CJ Stroud | QB | +175 |
| Will Anderson | LB | +600 |
| Jalen Carter | DT | +800 |
| Will Levis | QB | +1,000 |
| Anthony Richardson | QB | +6,000 |
| Peter Skoronski | OT | +7,500 |
| Paris Johnson | OT | +7,500 |
| Bryan Bresee | DT | +10,000 |
| Joey Porter Jr. | CB | +20,000 |
| Jaren Hall | QB | +20,000 |
| Jared Verse | DE | +20,000 |
Favorite to go first overall in the 2023 NFL Draft
Bryce Young | -125
Despite failing to defend his Heisman or lead his Crimson Tide back to the national championship game, the 2022 Heisman winner did little to diminish his standing as a top draft pick. In his second full season leading the Tide offense, Young was outstanding. He threw for 3,328 yards and 32 touchdowns against only five interceptions.
CJ Stroud | +175
The 2021 Heisman Trophy went to Alabama quarterback Bryce Young, while Ohio State quarterback CJ Stroud finished second. For the Buckeyes, Stroud’s second year as the starting quarterback was even better than the first. He threw for 3,688 yards, 41 touchdowns, and only six interceptions. Stroud may not be as quick off the mark as his Alabama counterpart, but he still figures to be a hot commodity come March Madness.
Will Anderson | +600
Alabama, now and forever under Nick Saban’s direction, has turned forth a never-ending stream of good to outstanding defensive players. EDGE Will Anderson might very well end out as one of the very finest. Anderson had seven sacks and 10.5 tackles for loss as a freshman, 17.5 sacks and 31 tackles for loss as a sophomore, and 10 sacks and 17 tackles for loss as a junior before leaving Tuscaloosa.
Anderson, a star at Alabama, may not be the first quarterback selected in 2023 because of the strength of the position, but he is, without a doubt, the finest defensive player available.
NFL Draft betting trends
Although quarterbacks have historically been selected first in NFL drafts, quarterbacks who are looking to be drafted have also seen a significant increase in demand due to the position’s prominence. With yesterday’s selection of Walker, four of the previous 16 No. 1 overall choices have been defensive linemen.
Ikem Ekwonu, Evan Neal, and Charles Cross were selected sixth, seventh, and ninth respectively in the 2022 NFL Draft, continuing a trend that has held true for all but two of the previous fifteen drafts.
List of first overall NFL Draft picks
| Year | Player | Position |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Travon Walker | DE |
| 2021 | Trevor Lawrence | QB |
| 2020 | Joe Burrow | QB |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray | QB |
| 2018 | Baker Mayfield | QB |
| 2017 | Myles Garrett | DE |
| 2016 | Jared Goff | QB |
| 2015 | Jameis Winston | QB |
| 2014 | Jadeveon Clowney | DE |
| 2013 | Eric Fisher | OT |
| 2012 | Andrew Luck | QB |
| 2011 | Cam Newton | QB |
| 2010 | Sam Bradford | QB |
| 2009 | Matthew Stafford | QB |
| 2008 | Jake Long | OT |
| 2007 | JaMarcus Russell | QB |
| 2006 | Mario Williams | DE |
How to bet on the 2023 NFL Draft
As soon as the previous year’s draft concludes, chances for the player to go first overall will be posted by sportsbooks. Once September rolls around and the college football season begins, these chances might vary on a weekly basis depending on player performance and the opinions of respected draftniks like Mel Kiper Jr.
For this NFL futures wager, it’s possible that even the needs of the NFL’s poorest team(s) will be considered.
Key events such as the underclassmen declaration deadline, the NFL Scouting Combine, and pro days will strengthen NFL Draft chances after the conclusion of the college football season. More NFL Draft prop bets will be available at sportsbooks in the days and hours leading up to the big event.
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